POWER RANKINGS: Here's who has the best chance at being our next president by Brett LoGiurato and Andy Kiersz on Oct 27, 2015, 11:49 AM Advertisement
 With less than 100 days to go before the first actual votes of the 2016 presidential race are cast, the summer of the "outsider" has quickly become the autumn of the "outsider." In the Republican field, real-estate tycoon Donald Trump and retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson continue to dominate. They consistently account for more than 50% of the GOP vote in national and early-state polls. And among the Democratic roster, self-described democratic socialist Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vermont) has become the clear alternative to the party's front-runner, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. With the help of a strong month, Clinton has solidified her grip on that front-runner status. Vice President Joe Biden declined to enter the race, while two other challengers — former Rhode Island Gov. Lincoln Chafee (D) and former US Sen. Jim Webb (D-Virginia) — dropped out. So with just more than a year remaining until Election Day 2016, here's another look at who has the best chance of making it to the White House to succeed President Barack Obama. Our rankings are based on the Real Clear Politics averages of national polls and those in the first-voting states of New Hampshire, Iowa, and South Carolina. We also factor in candidates' fundraising prowess and their momentum (or lack thereof) over the past few weeks, especially after the second Republican presidential debate last month and the first Democratic debate earlier this month. Here's a look at where all the candidates stand. 16. Rick Santorum, Republican, former senator from Pennsylvania  It's easy to forget that Santorum won 11 states in his 2012 primary matchup with Mitt Romney, the eventual Republican nominee — including the Iowa caucus. That's because so far — even though he is the first candidate to crisscross all of Iowa's 99 counties this time — he hasn't been even a blip on the radar in the 2016 race. He is facing much stauncher competition this time around, and he has not solved his biggest problem from 2012: money. He raised less than $400,000 in the latest fundraising quarter, the kind of money that doesn't bode well for staying power in a crowded field. The state that provided his biggest win in 2012, Iowa, also hasn't given him the same kind of love. Despite focusing on the Hawkeye State, he still barely registers in polling there, placing 11th in an average of recent polls. National polling average among Republican voters: 0.4% (T-12th)
Iowa: 1.4% (11th)
New Hampshire: 1% (T-10th)
South Carolina: N/A STOCK: Neutral
Last month: 17
15. Bobby Jindal, Republican, Louisiana governor  Coming out of 2012 and into the 2016 cycle, Jindal was viewed as one of the GOP's rising stars. But his stock both nationally and in his home state of Louisiana has plummeted over the past few years, as his state has fallen into financial disarray. The result is what's showing up in polls: He has yet to be able to break out of the bottom of the GOP pack. And a Louisiana poll recently showed he would lose his home state to Hillary Clinton in a general-election matchup. Jindal raised less than $600,000 in the last fundraising quarter, and he has been relegated to another lower-tier, "undercard" GOP debate. National polling average among Republican voters: 0.4% (T-12th)
Iowa: 2.8% (8th)
New Hampshire: 0.5% (13th)
South Carolina: N/A STOCK: Neutral
Last month: 16
14. Lindsey Graham, Republican, senator from South Carolina  Graham was the clear winner of the "kid's table" debate in September, but he has so far been unable to build any quantifiable momentum off it. He's not registering in Iowa. He barely shows up in New Hampshire polling. In his home state of South Carolina, he's just seventh in a crowded field. The Republican base has soured on Graham's support of immigration reform. He has rejected Donald Trump's comments on immigration. But far more voters, as polls have shown, have instead rallied around Trump. And lately, he sounds completely exasperated about the phenomenon of Trump and retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson. "On our side, you got the No. 2 guy — tried to kill somebody at 14. And the No. 1 guy is high energy and crazy as hell. How am I losing to these people?" Graham said. National polling average among Republican voters: 0.6% (11th)
Iowa: N/A
New Hampshire: 0.8% (12th)
South Carolina: 3% (7th) STOCK: Rising
Last month: 15
See the rest of the story at Business Insider
| 
0 comments:
Post a Comment