Instant Alert: Here's what Wall Street is predicting for the stock market in 2016

Posted On // Leave a Comment

Your Message Subject or Title

  MANAGE SUBSCRIPTIONS   |   UNSUBSCRIBE   |   VIEW ONLINE
 
 
 
 
 

Here's what Wall Street is predicting for the stock market in 2016

by Akin Oyedele on Nov 28, 2015, 6:00 AM

Advertisement

The stock market forecasts for 2016 are rolling in.

Wall Street steadily lowered its expectations for the stock market as 2015 unfolded.

On Friday, the S&P 500 traded near 2,090, and the median year-end target on the index was 2,150 according to Bloomberg data. Last December, it was 2,213.

Based on the forecasts we've received so far, even the most bullish strategists expect that 2016 will be a modest year for the market.

Uncertainty about how markets respond to the first interest rate hike in nine years, commodity price weakness, and slow global growth are some of the things strategists have identified as potential headwinds for stocks and earnings.

We've rounded up the calls from the top firms on Wall Street that we have so far.

We also included their original 2015 price targets, so you can see where the strategists stood a year ago compared to where the market is now. Many of these were revised as the year unfolded.

Goldman Sachs

2016 year-end target: 2,100

2016 EPS forecast: $120

2015 year-end target: 2,100

Comment: "We forecast the S&P 500 index will tread water for a second consecutive year in 2016," wrote David Kostin. "Our year-end 2016 target of 2100 represents a 1% price gain from the current index level (2089), which itself is just 1% above the year-end 2014 level of 2059." 

Source: Goldman Sachs



Bank of America Merrill Lynch

2016 year-end target: 2,200

2016 EPS forecast: $120

2015 year-end target: 2,200

Comment: "We expect modest gains for US large cap stocks in 2016: the likelihood of a recession in the next 12 months is low in our view, but valuations have normalized from previously low levels and narrowing returns are to be expected," wrote Savita Subramanian. 

Source: Bank of America Merrill Lynch



UBS

2016 year-end target: 2,275

2016 EPS forecast: $126

2015 year-end target: 2,225

Comment: "Barring an unforeseen external shock or a recession, if earnings continue to improve, 2016 should be a positive year for US equities," Julian Emanuel wrote. "Regardless, we continue to expect further volatility – which in essence means higher risk, both upside and downside."

Source: UBS



See the rest of the story at Business Insider


 
Share the latest business news with your network:

Facebook Share Twitter Share Email Share
Email sent to:   |   Manage your email preferences   |   Unsubscribe

Terms of Service   |   Privacy Policy

Business Insider. 150 Fifth Avenue, New York, NY 10011
Sailthru

0 comments:

Post a Comment