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NFL Week 3 betting guide — Our best bets

by Tyler Lauletta on Sep 21, 2018, 6:01 PM

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Week 3 of the NFL season is here.

After a brutal 1-4 start to our SuperContest campaign, we bounced back with a rock solid 3-2 on our best bets last weekend.

While 3-2 doesn't get us all the way back to a winning record, it went a long way to bringing us back into the heart of the standings. Last week was a particularly brutal week for many SuperContest bettors, with the five most commonly picked teams in the contest going 0-5.

It feels good to have fought our way out of the depths and into the pack, but the goal of the SuperContest isn't to out-pick 60% of the field. We're trying to out-pick everyone and win a million dollars.

So we're back at it again this week.

Below are our picks for Week 3 of the Westgate SuperContest, along with some of our other favorite bets on the slate.

SuperContest Pick 1: Carolina Panthers (-3) over Cincinnati Bengals

There's plenty of reasons to be skeptical of the Panthers in this spot. Most notably, the team has a Greg Olsen shaped hole in the offense, immediately upping the pressure on Christian McCaffrey, Devin Funchess, and other Carolina skill position players.

But the Panthers usually find a way to win at home, having gone in 19-6 over the past three seasons at Bank of America Stadium. And while the Bengals have looked impressive so far this season, this feels like a letdown spot for them after dismantling the Ravens on national television last Thursday.

With the NFC South so packed with contenders, the Panthers can't afford to slip up at home. They need it more, and I expect Cam Newton and company to figure it out.



SuperContest Pick 2: New Orleans Saints (+3) over Atlanta Falcons

New Orleans has failed to cover a spread this season, but this is a perfect spot to bet they find a way to bounce back. Atlanta is coming off a hard-fought win against the Panthers and back-to-back division games is always a tough stretch.

The Saints need a win to keep pace with the NFC South. Drew Brees and the New Orleans' offense has been operating just fine and will be facing a Falcons defensive front that is missing a few key pieces. Trust that the Saints' defense can wake up from whatever spell they've been under and get enough stops to help New Orleans win in a shootout.



SuperContest Pick 3: San Francisco 49ers (+6.5) over Kansas City Chiefs

We got burned by the Chiefs last week after they took the Steelers to task in Pittsburgh, but we're running it back against them again, this time backing Jimmy Garoppolo and the 49ers.

The Kansas City offense is one of the most intimidating forces in football right now, with Patrick Mahomes taking the world by storm and possibly the most talented collection of skill position players in the NFL between Tyreek Hill, Kareem Hunt, and Travis Kelce. But Mahomes can't sustain the pace he's on — unless he plans on throwing for 80 touchdowns.

The Chiefs' offensive explosion has also covered up for what has been a questionable-at-best defense so far. While Kansas City was able to hold on for the win in Pittsburgh, they did give up a 21-point first quarter lead before halftime. Jimmy Garoppolo will likely have his favorite target, Marquise Goodwin, back in the lineup on Sunday, and I think he keeps pace with the Chiefs.



See the rest of the story at Business Insider


 
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